No Closing Bell: Onshore perps hit escape velocity
Filed 4:01 p.m. ET - the market never closed.
The Tape
Kalshi’s CFTC-regulated crypto perpetual futures crossed $1 billion in notional volume within a week of launch, after BTCPERP went live on June 3 and printed more than $100 million in its first 24 hours, per CNBC. The structural change is speed of onshore adoption: Kalshi’s original event-contract business took roughly 40 months to reach the same volume milestone, while regulated perps did it in days. The contracts bring the offshore crypto derivatives market’s dominant instrument — no expiry, funding-rate alignment, continuous margin — into a U.S.-regulated venue. Kalshi is already widening the board beyond Bitcoin, with XRP and Solana perpetuals cleared and additional crypto underlyings queued.
The Session
- No-expiry futures move onshore: U.S. users can trade Kalshi crypto perpetuals under CFTC oversight rather than routing to offshore venues; BTCPERP launched June 3 after the May 29 regulatory clearance, with funding payments keeping the contract aligned to spot instead of a fixed expiration date.
- Volume shifts from prediction markets to leveraged derivatives: Kalshi’s perps reached $1 billion notional in less than a week, versus 40 months for its event-contract business, showing that the first regulated U.S. perp book is not an adjacent feature — it is a new liquidity center inside the same account stack.
- The launch cadence is now product-by-product: Bitcoin opened first; Ethereum followed after review; Kalshi says XRP and Solana perpetuals are cleared, with XLM, DOGE, SHIB and HBAR expected “in the next few days,” according to CoinGape.
- Coinbase is the immediate regulated rival: The May 29 approvals put Kalshi and Coinbase into the same onshore race for U.S. perp flow, while CME already runs 24/7 regulated crypto derivatives and offshore venues still dominate global activity.
- ICE is now asking the obvious incumbent question: NYSE parent Intercontinental Exchange has been talking to regulators about whether it can launch perpetual futures too, with CEO Jeff Sprecher asking, “Can we do that?” as decentralized and crypto-native venues set the product template, per Benzinga.
The Back Office
Kalshi perps do not touch the U.S. equity T+1 stack or DTCC settlement; they live in the CFTC derivatives stack, with margin, liquidation risk and periodic funding replacing delivery of the underlying asset. That is the operational difference between “24/7 trading” as a front-end slogan and an actual continuous-risk system: the clearing ledger has to handle mark-to-market exposure, collateral sufficiency and funding transfers while the contract never expires.
- Settlement model: No fixed maturity and no physical crypto delivery; exposure is maintained through margin and funding rather than a T+1 securities settlement cycle.
- Funding clock: Kalshi’s educational material describes a funding rate charged every eight hours, creating scheduled cash-flow events inside an otherwise continuous contract.
- Custody-of-record: Traders are not holding the underlying Bitcoin, XRP or Solana; the regulated record is the derivatives position and collateral account, not spot-asset custody.
The Thin Hours
The $1 billion print proves demand, not depth. Perps can trade continuously, but their safety depends on who quotes during overnight and weekend stress, how wide the basis gets versus spot, and whether funding/liquidation mechanics amplify thin-book moves. Offshore perps built their liquidity around crypto-native market makers and global retail leverage; U.S.-regulated venues now have to prove they can replicate enough depth without importing the same manipulation, cascade-liquidation and retail-protection problems that kept the product offshore for years.
Next Session
The next catalyst is Kalshi’s listing queue. XRP and Solana are already moving onto the board, and Kalshi has filed for a Hyperliquid-linked HYPE perpetual while signaling XLM, DOGE, SHIB and HBAR additions in the coming days. The larger regulatory catalyst is the CFTC’s expected rulemaking on prediction markets and event contracts, which matters because Kalshi is no longer just a prediction venue — it is becoming a regulated derivatives venue competing with Coinbase, CME, offshore perps and, potentially, ICE.
The Clock
Where the trading day stands — who is open when, and how fast it settles.
| Venue | Market | Hours | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYSE | US equities | [.] Filed | Seeking SEC approval for an overnight session |
| Nasdaq | US equities | [.] Filed | 24-hour weekday plan in SEC review |
| 24X National Exchange | US equities | [~] Live (partial) | Approved overnight venue, phasing in hours |
| Blue Ocean ATS | US equities (o/n) | [+] Live | Overnight ATS, ~8pm-4am ET |
| Cboe | Index derivatives | [~] Expanding | Extended / weekend derivatives sessions |
| Robinhood | Retail equities | [+] Live 24/5 | Round-the-clock weekday trading |
| Coinbase | Perps (US) | [+] Live | CFTC-regulated perpetual-style futures |
| CME Group | Crypto derivatives | [+] Live | Crypto futures and options available 24/7 · updated 2026-05-31 |
| Market | Settlement | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| US equities | T+1 | Standard cycle; Paxos approved to deliver same-day T+0 settlement for U.S. equities · updated 2026-05-31 |
| Tokenized equities | T+0 / atomic | On-chain instant settlement |
| US Treasuries | T+1 |
As of 2026-06-10 — a standing scoreboard, auto-maintained from each day's sources.
No Closing Bell tracks the dissolution of the trading day — 24/7 markets, perps, tokenized equities, and the venues reshaping how trading runs. For questions or tips: reply to this email.
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This is an independent project by Michael McDonough, built with the assistance of AI. Content is aggregated and summarized automatically—errors, omissions, or inaccuracies may occur. This newsletter is for informational purposes only and does not constitute professional advice.
